Unirea Constanța vs Progresul Spartac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
11º
12º
13º
27
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 14 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 13 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 11 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 10 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 10 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 9 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 8 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 7 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 7 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 5 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 3 |
12º
|
69% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 3 |
13º
|
69% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 74% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unirea Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ACS
7 - 2
AUC
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 2
ASC
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 3
SEL
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BSR
5 - 2
AUC
78%
15%
8%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
DBU
6 - 0
AUC
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Progresul Spartac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PSB
1 - 4
BSR
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 1
PSB
65%
21%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PSB
0 - 0
ASC
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CSI
2 - 2
PSB
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PSB
0 - 0
CSS
37%
24%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |