Aubstadt vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis

Aubstadt Bayreuth SpVgg
56 ELO 59
-4.4% Tilt -3.5%
3513º General ELO ranking 2691º
148º Country ELO ranking 114º
ELO win probability
35.1%
Aubstadt
26.5%
Draw
38.4%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
Aubstadt
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.4%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aubstadt
-18%
-16%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Points and table prediction

Aubstadt
Their league position
Bayreuth SpVgg
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
16º
14º
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Schweinfurt
68
68
100%
Buchbach
59
59
100%
Würzburger Kickers
57
57
100%
Bayern München II
56
56
100%
Greuther Fürth II
56
56
100%
Bayreuth SpVgg
55
55
100%
SV Wacker Burghausen
52
52
0%
Vilzing
52
52
0%
Illertissen
51
51
100%
SpVgg Ansbach
10º
46
46
10º
100%
Nürnberg II
11º
45
45
11º
100%
FC Augsburg II
12º
42
42
12º
100%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
14º
40
40
13º
63.5%
Aubstadt
13º
40
40
14º
63.5%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
15º
37
38
15º
63.5%
Hankofen-Hailing
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Eintracht Bamberg
17º
25
25
17º
100%
Türkgücü München
18º
22
23
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aubstadt
Bayreuth SpVgg
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
63.5% 100%
Relegation play-offs
36.5% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Aubstadt
Bayreuth SpVgg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aubstadt
Aubstadt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2024
AUG
FC Augsburg II
0 - 3
Aubstadt
AUB
57%
22%
21%
54 56 2 0
03 Oct. 2024
AUB
Aubstadt
4 - 2
Vilzing
VIL
36%
26%
39%
52 55 3 +2
28 Sep. 2024
WUR
Würzburger Kickers
1 - 1
Aubstadt
AUB
77%
15%
8%
52 69 17 0
21 Sep. 2024
AUB
Aubstadt
1 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
57%
23%
21%
52 48 4 0
13 Sep. 2024
BAY
Bayern München II
2 - 2
Aubstadt
AUB
75%
16%
9%
52 64 12 0

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2024
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
3 - 2
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
TSA
62%
21%
17%
58 50 8 0
03 Oct. 2024
AUG
FC Augsburg II
1 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
46%
24%
30%
58 56 2 0
27 Sep. 2024
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
4 - 0
Türkgücü München
TAM
69%
19%
12%
58 44 14 0
21 Sep. 2024
VIL
Vilzing
2 - 2
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
43%
25%
32%
57 56 1 +1
14 Sep. 2024
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 0
Illertissen
ILL
38%
27%
35%
56 59 3 +1