Aubagne vs Thonon Évian analysis

Aubagne Thonon Évian
51 ELO 47
-2.5% Tilt -10.9%
2151º General ELO ranking 5893º
57º Country ELO ranking 138º
ELO win probability
54.2%
Aubagne
22.9%
Draw
22.9%
Thonon Évian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
Aubagne
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.9%
Win probability
Thonon Évian
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aubagne
+19%
-20%
Thonon Évian

Points and table prediction

Aubagne
Their league position
Thonon Évian
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
12º
28
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Aubagne
52
52
100%
Le Puy
46
46
100%
Grasse
42
42
100%
Jura Sud
41
41
100%
Cannes
40
40
100%
Hyères
37
37
100%
Fréjus St-Raphaël
36
36
100%
Sporting Toulon Var
35
35
100%
Andrézieux
34
34
100%
Olympique Alès
10º
29
29
10º
100%
Thonon Évian
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Chamalières
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Bourgoin-Jallieu
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Toulouse II
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aubagne
Thonon Évian
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Aubagne
Thonon Évian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aubagne
Aubagne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2023
HYE
Hyères
0 - 1
Aubagne
AUB
35%
27%
38%
50 48 2 0
02 Dec. 2023
AUB
Aubagne
0 - 0
Le Puy
LPV
37%
27%
36%
50 55 5 0
25 Nov. 2023
CAN
Cannes
0 - 1
Aubagne
AUB
56%
23%
21%
49 52 3 +1
18 Nov. 2023
THO
Thonon Évian
2 - 2
Aubagne
AUB
39%
24%
38%
49 48 1 0
11 Nov. 2023
SPO
Sporting Toulon Var
1 - 1
Aubagne
AUB
35%
26%
39%
49 45 4 0

Matches

Thonon Évian
Thonon Évian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2024
BOU
Bourgoin-Jallieu
1 - 0
Thonon Évian
THO
27%
25%
48%
48 38 10 0
16 Dec. 2023
THO
Thonon Évian
0 - 0
Grasse
GRA
40%
25%
34%
48 53 5 0
09 Dec. 2023
LYO
Lyon-Duchère
2 - 1
Thonon Évian
THO
45%
24%
32%
49 52 3 -1
25 Nov. 2023
THO
Thonon Évian
4 - 1
Toulouse II
TOU
65%
20%
15%
48 38 10 +1
18 Nov. 2023
THO
Thonon Évian
2 - 2
Aubagne
AUB
39%
24%
38%
48 49 1 0