Aubagne vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
AGD
4 - 0
AUB
22%
25%
54%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AUB
5 - 3
FAB
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NIM
1 - 1
AUB
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LAS
1 - 0
AUB
50%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
AUB
1 - 1
AIX
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 0
AIX
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SCR
0 - 2
SPO
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
AGD
1 - 4
SPO
32%
28%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 1
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
OLY
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |