Aubagne vs Propriano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 0
EVI
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
1 - 1
AUB
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 0
CHA
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 0
AUB
79%
15%
6%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AUB
1 - 0
NIC
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Propriano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
PRO
78%
16%
7%
|
29 | 62 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PRO
0 - 4
SAI
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FUR
0 - 1
PRO
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
SPO
22%
24%
53%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NIC
4 - 0
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |