Atyrau vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
43.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
9º
7º
34
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
ATY
2 - 1
KAI
22%
23%
55%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ORD
2 - 1
ATY
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ATY
0 - 0
AST
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ZHE
0 - 3
ATY
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 1
ATY
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
TOB
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
KYZ
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
OKZ
1 - 2
TOB
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
MAQ
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 0
SHA
42%
25%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |