Atyrau vs Ordabasy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
11º
7º
42
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FKY
0 - 0
ATY
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
ATY
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
HBK
3 - 1
ATY
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ATY
2 - 1
AKP
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ATY
0 - 2
WIS
19%
21%
60%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ordabasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ORD
5 - 0
SHA
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 1
TOB
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
TOB
0 - 0
ORD
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FKY
0 - 4
ORD
22%
22%
56%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FAK
2 - 1
ORD
27%
25%
49%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |