ATSV Mutschelbach vs TSV Essingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
14º
13º
46
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ATSV Mutschelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OFF
1 - 1
ATS
19%
18%
63%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ATS
4 - 0
RAV
63%
18%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 3
ATS
33%
21%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ATS
3 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 2
ATS
41%
20%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 2
GOP
13%
17%
71%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
TSB
0 - 3
TSV
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 2
VIL
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REU
5 - 1
TSV
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OFF
1 - 4
TSV
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |