Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 3-4
Atromitos vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atromitos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 2
ATR
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
PAN
2 - 1
ATR
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ATR
3 - 1
TRI
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 1
ATR
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ATR
1 - 2
PAO
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 0
ZVI
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 2
ATR
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
HAU
1 - 3
SAR
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 1
HAU
52%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
MEZ
0 - 4
SAR
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |