Atmosfera vs Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
15º
10º
28
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 75 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 61 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 56 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 50 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 38 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 29 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atmosfera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
ATM
32%
25%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
BFA
1 - 0
ATM
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
5 - 0
FKE
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
0 - 1
LIE
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
NEV
0 - 1
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 3
FKT
19%
22%
60%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
ZAL
19%
21%
60%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 4
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 1
SIA
62%
19%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 3
ZAL
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |