Atmosfera vs Panevėžys II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
15º
10º
13
6º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 75 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 61 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 56 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 50 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 38 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 29 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 45.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 41.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atmosfera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FHL
1 - 1
ATM
26%
24%
51%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 0
FKK
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
BAB
0 - 0
ATM
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
MIN
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GKA
0 - 1
ATM
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 3
NEV
24%
25%
52%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FKT
6 - 0
PAN
62%
20%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
PAN
41%
25%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 1
GKA
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FKE
4 - 0
PAN
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |