Atmosfera vs Kauno Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
15º
10º
14
5º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 75 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 61 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 56 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 50 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 38 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 29 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 48% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atmosfera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
BAB
0 - 0
ATM
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
MIN
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GKA
0 - 1
ATM
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 1
FKE
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BFA
0 - 2
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
GKA
0 - 4
FKK
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FKK
2 - 2
FKE
29%
24%
48%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FKK
2 - 1
BFA
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 5
SIA
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 2
FKT
30%
23%
47%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |