ATM vs USM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ATM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 3
ATM
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 0
MEL
44%
24%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
SAR
0 - 3
ATM
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
ATM
0 - 1
SAB
39%
25%
35%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
MUA
0 - 4
ATM
66%
20%
15%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
USM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
TER
3 - 0
USM
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
USM
1 - 4
TER
27%
23%
50%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
USM
0 - 1
HAR
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
PKN
5 - 0
USM
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
USM
1 - 4
FEL
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |