ATM vs PDRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ATM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 0
ATM
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
ATM
3 - 2
JOH
19%
22%
59%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
KET
3 - 1
ATM
39%
25%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 1
PKN
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +3 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
ATM
0 - 3
SEL
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
PDRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
PDR
0 - 1
MEL
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
JOH
1 - 1
PDR
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
PDR
1 - 1
KET
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
PDR
1 - 1
PKN
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
KJP
1 - 2
PDR
11%
19%
70%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | +1 |