Venezuelan Cup Second Round Final
Global 3-5
Atlético El Vigía FC vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 1
ULA
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 4
ATL
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
ATG
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
TIT
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
FRO
2 - 3
ATL
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 1
ULA
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ULA
0 - 2
TIT
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
FRO
1 - 0
ULA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
URE
2 - 0
ULA
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ULA
1 - 0
ATG
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |