Atlético El Vigía FC vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 3
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 1
TIT
54%
21%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 0
ATL
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
6 - 1
PDB
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ATL
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
7 - 0
POL
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
PDB
44%
24%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FRO
0 - 0
POL
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
POL
3 - 2
TIT
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 1
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -2 |