Atlético El Vigía FC vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 3
URE
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 1
ATL
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 2
ZAM
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
YAR
4 - 0
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
5 - 1
ULA
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
POL
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
CAR
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ZUL
1 - 1
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
URE
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 2
POL
46%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |