Atlético El Vigía FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 1
FRO
38%
25%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
ZUL
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
URE
3 - 2
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 2
ATL
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
ULA
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
TRU
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
APC
1 - 1
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
EST
0 - 2
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 0
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
EST
0 - 0
ZAM
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |