Venezuelan Cup Last 16
Global 2-3
Atlético El Vigía FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
ZAM
67%
19%
15%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 1
ATL
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
7 - 0
POL
88%
9%
3%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
TIT
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
LAR
27%
22%
51%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 1
ATL
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 1
LAR
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 3
JUN
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ZUL
0 - 1
LAR
41%
23%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |