Atlético El Vigía FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
TAC
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
ATL
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 0
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 2
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LAR
6 - 1
TUC
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
LAR
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 0
LAR
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 1
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 3
LAR
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |