Atlético El Vigía FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 3
CFC
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
YAR
2 - 0
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
ANZ
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TRU
3 - 0
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
EST
54%
22%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 2
ANZ
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
TRU
2 - 1
ARA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
EST
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
ARA
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |