Atl. Tucumán vs Luján de Cuyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
FLO
0 - 0
ATT
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ATT
2 - 3
JAN
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
DES
2 - 0
ATT
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
ATT
4 - 1
JUU
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
TAL
0 - 0
ATT
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luján de Cuyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
LCY
1 - 0
JAN
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
JUU
0 - 0
LCY
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LCY
0 - 0
GIM
18%
27%
55%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
LCY
2 - 0
FLO
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
DES
4 - 0
LCY
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |