Atl. Tucumán vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ATT
2 - 2
IRV
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TAL
4 - 1
ATT
59%
24%
18%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
ATT
0 - 3
BAN
48%
28%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ATT
0 - 0
VEL
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CCS
0 - 0
ATT
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
DEF
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DEF
0 - 0
ALM
52%
28%
20%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BRO
0 - 3
DEF
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DEF
0 - 0
TEM
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 4
DEF
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |