Atl. Tucumán II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
RIV
3 - 0
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 2
GLP
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
TAL
2 - 2
ATL
58%
21%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 2
SAR
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
ROC
2 - 0
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
VEL
2 - 0
SMS
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 4
VEL
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
VEL
1 - 1
GOC
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
IND
1 - 2
VEL
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
VEL
2 - 1
SLO
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |