Atl. Tucumán II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
TIG
0 - 0
ATL
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GOC
2 - 1
ATL
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
BEL
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 1
ATL
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 3
CAU
28%
22%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
ALD
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
TIG
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
SAR
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
GOC
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 0
SAR
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |