Atlético Tomelloso vs CD Manchego Ciudad Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
14º
16º
15º
62
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
ATT
4 - 1
CAZ
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 0
ATT
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 1
ATT
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ATT
6 - 2
PED
39%
26%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LSO
3 - 0
ATT
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 1
LEG
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
CDC
65%
22%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CDC
3 - 0
ROD
83%
14%
4%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 3
CDC
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CDC
6 - 1
HAL
70%
20%
11%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |