Atlético Sorocaba vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
ATL
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
FER
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 0
ATL
31%
24%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
VOT
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
OES
24%
25%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
UNI
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
XVD
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAO
22%
26%
53%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
UNI
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |