Atlético Sorocaba vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 3
ATL
38%
24%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAT
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
RIO
4 - 2
ATL
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
ATL
27%
24%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 2
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
5 - 1
CAT
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 1
LIN
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 0
RIO
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 4
UNI
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |