Atlético Sorocaba vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAT
0 - 0
ATL
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
OES
33%
25%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
4 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 1
NOV
27%
23%
50%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 1
COM
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
PAU
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 3
OES
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
PAU
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |