Atlético Sorocaba vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2007 |
TAU
3 - 2
ATL
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 1
UNI
43%
23%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATL
41%
24%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 0
MOG
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
ATL
0 - 0
OSV
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
POR
5 - 2
NAC
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 2
INT
32%
24%
43%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ECN
1 - 2
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 1
BOT
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
SEP
2 - 0
NAC
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |