Atlético Sorocaba vs Mirassol FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATL
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
XVD
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 3
MOG
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PPE
2 - 1
ATL
74%
18%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 1
PEN
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
6 - 2
PAL
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MOG
3 - 1
MIR
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
MIR
84%
12%
5%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
3 - 4
SAO
45%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |