Atlético Sorocaba vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
SAO
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
ATL
32%
25%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
TAU
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 1
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 3
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
INT
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IND
0 - 3
XVD
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
RBB
3 - 1
IND
59%
22%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |