Atlético Sorocaba vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
BAT
33%
26%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
ATL
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
0 - 0
ATL
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
GUA
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |