Atlético Sorocaba vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 0
ATL
31%
24%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
VOT
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
SAO
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
FER
30%
25%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VOT
3 - 2
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
BAT
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |