Atlético Sorocaba vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
PAU
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAT
0 - 0
ATL
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
OES
33%
25%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 0
MAT
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
4 - 1
CAT
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
OES
4 - 1
CAT
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 2
AGU
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
CAT
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |