Atletico San Roque vs Alcalá Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico San Roque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESP
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 0
ATL
22%
22%
56%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ALG
0 - 0
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -7 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 2
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2005 |
UDB
3 - 0
ATL
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alcalá Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 1
ELB
53%
22%
26%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
ALC
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 1
OLV
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
ALC
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
PRA
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |