Torneo Federal B qualifying rounds 1/16
Global 2-0
Atlético San Jorge vs 9 de Julio Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético San Jorge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
9DJ
0 - 2
ATL
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAA
0 - 2
ATL
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 2
AQR
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAA
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AQR
0 - 2
ATL
41%
23%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
9DJ
0 - 2
ATL
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
UJB
0 - 3
9DJ
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
9DJ
2 - 2
LIB
51%
23%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
9DJ
5 - 1
UJB
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
9DJ
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |