Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 3-0
At. Saguntino vs UCAM Murcia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ATB
1 - 1
SAG
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 0
ALC
18%
27%
55%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 2
SAG
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
HER
18%
27%
55%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
LEV
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 5
UCA
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 2
MUL
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LAU
2 - 1
UCA
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LFC
2 - 1
UCA
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PIN
0 - 2
UCA
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |