At. Saguntino vs Novelda CF analysis

At. Saguntino Novelda CF
33 ELO 40
-17.2% Tilt -5.5%
5386º General ELO ranking 11261º
192º Country ELO ranking 1175º
ELO win probability
25.4%
At. Saguntino
25.1%
Draw
49.5%
Novelda CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
At. Saguntino
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.5%
Win probability
Novelda CF
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
At. Saguntino
-63%
+11%
Novelda CF

ELO progression

At. Saguntino
Novelda CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

At. Saguntino
At. Saguntino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2012
CRE
Crevillente Deportivo
1 - 4
At. Saguntino
SAG
50%
25%
26%
31 33 2 0
15 Sep. 2012
SAG
At. Saguntino
1 - 0
CD Acero
ACE
23%
25%
52%
30 38 8 +1
08 Sep. 2012
BUR
CD Burriana
1 - 2
At. Saguntino
SAG
71%
17%
12%
28 36 8 +2
01 Sep. 2012
SAG
At. Saguntino
1 - 1
Ribarroja CF
RIB
40%
28%
33%
28 31 3 0
25 Aug. 2012
LLO
CD Llosa
3 - 0
At. Saguntino
SAG
37%
26%
38%
30 26 4 -2

Matches

Novelda CF
Novelda CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2012
NOV
Novelda CF
2 - 1
Dénia
DEN
32%
28%
40%
38 46 8 0
15 Sep. 2012
JOV
FC Jove Español
1 - 2
Novelda CF
NOV
45%
24%
31%
38 37 1 0
09 Sep. 2012
NOV
Novelda CF
1 - 0
Torrevieja
TOR
45%
27%
28%
37 37 0 +1
02 Sep. 2012
NOV
Novelda CF
1 - 0
Muro
MUR
30%
24%
46%
36 39 3 +1
26 Aug. 2012
CRE
Crevillente Deportivo
3 - 3
Novelda CF
NOV
43%
25%
32%
36 35 1 0