At. Saguntino vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 4
SAG
50%
25%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
ACE
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 2
SAG
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 1
RIB
40%
28%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LLO
3 - 0
SAG
37%
26%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 1
DEN
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JOV
1 - 2
NOV
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
TOR
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
MUR
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 3
NOV
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |