At. Saguntino vs Hércules analysis

At. Saguntino Hércules
45 ELO 49
-26.1% Tilt -26.7%
5278º General ELO ranking 2253º
192º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
31.4%
At. Saguntino
29.3%
Draw
39.3%
Hércules

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
At. Saguntino
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
39.3%
Win probability
Hércules
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
At. Saguntino
-60%
-11%
Hércules

Points and table prediction

At. Saguntino
Their league position
Hércules
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
15º
46
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Teruel
66
66
100%
Penya Deportiva
60
61
100%
Valencia Mestalla
57
60
100%
Espanyol B
54
54
100%
CE Manresa
51
52
100%
Terrassa FC
49
49
100%
Som Maresme FC
10º
44
47
32%
Hércules
46
47
24.5%
At. Saguntino
45
46
48%
Lleida CF
45
45
10º
68%
SD Formentera
11º
44
44
11º
49%
Deportivo Aragón
12º
43
43
12º
45%
UD Alzira
13º
42
43
13º
56%
AE Prat
14º
38
41
14º
100%
UE Olot
15º
32
32
15º
87.5%
SD Ibiza
16º
29
30
16º
40%
Mallorca B
17º
29
30
17º
40%
CD Ebro
18º
24
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
At. Saguntino
Hércules
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

At. Saguntino
Hércules
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

At. Saguntino
At. Saguntino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2022
SAG
At. Saguntino
0 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
5%
16%
79%
45 82 37 0
17 Dec. 2022
SAG
At. Saguntino
1 - 1
Valencia Mestalla
VAL
23%
27%
51%
44 50 6 +1
11 Dec. 2022
ALZ
UD Alzira
0 - 0
At. Saguntino
SAG
51%
27%
22%
44 47 3 0
04 Dec. 2022
SAG
At. Saguntino
0 - 0
CD Ebro
CDE
34%
30%
37%
44 47 3 0
27 Nov. 2022
ZAR
Deportivo Aragón
1 - 0
At. Saguntino
SAG
44%
27%
29%
45 42 3 -1

Matches

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2022
ALZ
UD Alzira
0 - 0
Hércules
HER
37%
28%
35%
48 47 1 0
11 Dec. 2022
HER
Hércules
3 - 1
Deportivo Aragón
ZAR
57%
24%
20%
48 44 4 0
04 Dec. 2022
OLO
UE Olot
1 - 1
Hércules
HER
38%
27%
35%
48 44 4 0
27 Nov. 2022
HER
Hércules
0 - 4
Lleida CF
LLE
39%
27%
34%
49 52 3 -1
20 Nov. 2022
TER
Terrassa FC
3 - 1
Hércules
HER
45%
26%
29%
50 49 1 -1