At. Saguntino vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 1
SAG
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 3
NUC
25%
26%
49%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
SAG
2 - 0
ELD
45%
27%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CAT
3 - 2
SAG
27%
27%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
CAT
0 - 2
SAG
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ELC
2 - 0
DEN
47%
25%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
JOV
0 - 1
ELC
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ELC
2 - 0
TOR
42%
26%
31%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
ELC
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ELC
2 - 1
CRE
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |