Atlético Reguengos vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MOU
2 - 0
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
LUS
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SES
1 - 1
ATL
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
FAR
9%
15%
76%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
VAS
67%
18%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 2
JUV
25%
24%
52%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 2
FCC
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
FCC
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MOU
7 - 1
FCC
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |