Atlético Reguengos vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
EVN
2 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
1DE
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ORI
5 - 1
ATL
77%
16%
7%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOU
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 1
LOU
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAT
3 - 2
CAL
51%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
PIN
60%
22%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 0
CAL
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 0
MAF
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |