Atletico Rafaela vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 1
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MIT
2 - 1
RAF
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 3
CFE
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
IRV
2 - 1
RAF
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 0
MAI
41%
29%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 1
SMA
33%
32%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 1
DEF
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALB
47%
29%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
DEF
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
DEF
0 - 1
ALM
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |