Atletico Rafaela vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TIG
2 - 0
RAF
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RAF
2 - 0
BRO
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
RAF
2 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 0
RAF
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
RAF
1 - 1
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 0
QUI
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 0
GIM
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ALM
3 - 2
DEF
32%
30%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
TIG
14%
24%
63%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 0
DEF
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |