Atlético Rafaela II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Rafaela II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
ATR
28%
23%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
EST
2 - 2
ATR
54%
22%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
ATR
2 - 1
BEL
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
NOB
5 - 0
ATR
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ATR
2 - 1
BOC
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 1
EST
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 1
BEL
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
NOB
0 - 2
VEL
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 1
BOC
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
VEL
40%
24%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |