Atlético Rafaela II vs Patronato II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Rafaela II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 1
ATR
43%
24%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 0
ATR
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
DYJ
4 - 2
ATR
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ATR
1 - 3
RAC
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
NOB
3 - 0
ATR
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
COL
1 - 2
PAT
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 1
RIV
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
IND
5 - 1
PAT
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 2
ROC
12%
19%
70%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
GOC
1 - 0
PAT
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |