Atlético Rafaela II vs Gimnasia La Plata II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Rafaela II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
ATR
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ATR
0 - 1
NOB
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 1
ATR
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
ATR
1 - 1
LAN
43%
24%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
ATR
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
GLP
2 - 1
GOC
44%
25%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 0
GLP
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
GLP
2 - 2
ROC
21%
24%
55%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
NOB
3 - 2
GLP
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GLP
0 - 1
RIV
17%
22%
60%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |