Atletico Puerta Toledo vs Castillo de Cva Aldea del R analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Puerta Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SVI
3 - 0
APT
53%
21%
26%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
APT
1 - 3
MAN
18%
20%
62%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CSP
4 - 1
APT
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
APT
2 - 2
POB
53%
20%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
INF
1 - 1
APT
37%
23%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo de Cva Aldea del R
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
SVI
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
CAL
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 2
CSP
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
POB
1 - 3
CAL
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
5 - 1
INF
71%
17%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |