Atlético Progreso vs Villa Cubas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
PRO
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
LAS
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
PRO
84%
12%
5%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 0
PRO
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 0
FAM
19%
21%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Cubas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
LAS
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
FAM
0 - 0
VIL
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
BVT
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
TFR
1 - 3
VIL
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 2
AGU
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |